{"id":5160,"date":"2020-02-01T06:59:19","date_gmt":"2020-01-31T20:59:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.mine.nu\/blog\/?p=5160"},"modified":"2020-02-02T08:52:18","modified_gmt":"2020-02-01T22:52:18","slug":"nowcasting-and-forecasting-the-potential-domestic-and-international-spread-of-the-2019-ncov-outbreak-originating-in-wuhan-china-a-modelling-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/2020\/02\/01\/nowcasting-and-forecasting-the-potential-domestic-and-international-spread-of-the-2019-ncov-outbreak-originating-in-wuhan-china-a-modelling-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9\/fulltext\">Lancet<\/a> 2020-01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>the basic reproductive number for 2019-nCoV was 2\u00b768 (95% CrI 2\u00b747\u20132\u00b786) and that 75\u2008815 individuals (95% CrI\u00a0<a href=\"tel:37%E2%80%88304%E2%80%93130%E2%80%88330\">37\u2008304\u2013130\u2008330<\/a>) have been infected in Wuhan as of Jan 25, 2020<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lancet 2020-01 the basic reproductive number for 2019-nCoV was 2\u00b768 (95% CrI 2\u00b747\u20132\u00b786) and that 75\u2008815 individuals (95% CrI\u00a037\u2008304\u2013130\u2008330) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1,427],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-health","category-uncategorized","category-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5160"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5160\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5161,"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5160\/revisions\/5161"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/neoporcupine.net\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}